Catalog / Geopolitics & Conflict / Data feed
Geopolitics & Conflict · daily ban:none tA

US SAM.gov defense contract award velocity

count and dollar value of new DoD contract awards tagged to munitions/missile/drone NAICS codes per day

Feed detail
Measures
count and dollar value of new DoD contract awards tagged to munitions/missile/drone NAICS codes per day
Source
SAM.gov / USASpending.gov public API
Access
json-api
Cadence
dailyupdates once a day
Thesis
A surge in munitions procurement awards precedes public announcements of resupply to allies (Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan)
Maps to
defense primes (LMT, RTX, NOC, GD), munitions subcontractors
Crowdedness
contested
Tier
tA
Ban-risk
ban:none
Where this stands

This is a catalogued data feed with a research idea attached, not a validated edge. Being listed here means it has a specific source and a one-sentence causal mechanism mapped to what it should move — it doesn’t mean it has cleared the five-stage validation gate (point-in-time hygiene, out-of-sample holdout, multiple-testing correction, and the portfolio-layer backstop). As of today, every score on this site is prior-only; zero signals in the catalog have been promoted to “measured” status. See the methodology page for the full validation process and current counts.

Browse the rest of Geopolitics & ConflictConflict, sanctions, and geopolitical-risk signals mapped to the equities, currencies, and commodities they move.