Catalog / Behavioral & Folklore

Behavioral & Folklore data feeds

Search trends, sentiment, and non-standard behavioral signals outside existing vendor panels.

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Public feeds
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ulta.com lip makeup category, sorted by discount
Lipstick Index: small affordable luxuries rise in recessions; deepening lipstick clearance = weakening discretionary demand โ†’ XLY, consumer discretionary, WMT/TGT basket
PREMIUMdailyban:mediumtC
EIA weekly retail diesel price survey combined with GasBuddy truck-stop price pages
Local truck-stop diesel spread widening signals regional freight demand/supply imbalance ahead of freight indices โ†’ diesel crack spread, trucking (JBHT, KNX), freight futures
FREEdailyban:mediumtC
local 511 town traffic cams near dollar-store anchored strip centers
Dollar-store traffic surges are a classic trade-down signal that leads reported comp-sales by weeks โ†’ DG, DLTR, trade-down consumer basket
FREEweeklyban:lowtC
poshmark.com search/category pages (public browse)
Surging resale supply of luxury goods signals households liquidating assets for cash, a folklore recession tell โ†’ luxury retail (LVMH, Tapestry), consumer credit stress
FREEdailyban:mediumtC
opentable.com public restaurant availability search pages
Prime-time reservation scarcity is a real-time read on high-end discretionary spend, ahead of BEA PCE releases โ†’ restaurant discretionary spend, luxury consumer basket
FREEweeklyban:mediumtC
mcdonalds.com press releases and app promo pages
Trade-down to value menu items is an early consumer-stress tell that leads official same-store-sales prints โ†’ MCD, QSR trade-down basket
PREMIUMweeklyban:lowtC
walmart.com grocery bestseller/category pages
Instant ramen is the classic recession-staple food; rank climbing signals household budget tightening โ†’ WMT, packaged food staples, consumer stress
PREMIUMdailyban:mediumtC
Hormel Foods (HRL) SEC EDGAR earnings call transcripts and 10-Q
Spam sales are a folklorically tracked recession-staple indicator (spiked in 2008-09 and 2020) โ†’ HRL, packaged staples, consumer stress
FREEweeklyban:nonetA
individual state lottery commission public sales/financial reports (e.g., Texas Lottery, Florida Lottery daily sales dashboards)
Lottery spend rises when households feel financially desperate/hopeful for a windfall, inversely correlated with wage growth confidence โ†’ state consumer sentiment, regional economic stress
FREEdailyban:nonetA
costco.com and samsclub.com gold bar product pages
Retail gold-bar sellouts at big-box clubs are a widely-cited but rarely systematically tracked retail safe-haven demand tell โ†’ gold spot, retail safe-haven sentiment
PREMIUMdailyban:mediumtC
kroger.com weekly ad / digital coupon pages
Rising private-label promotion share signals retailer response to trade-down demand, a leading staples-substitution indicator โ†’ KR, packaged food brands (K, GIS) relative demand
PREMIUMweeklyban:mediumtC
State gaming control board monthly revenue reports (e.g. Nevada Gaming Control Board, Mississippi Gaming Commission, Oklahoma tribal compact filings)
Regional casino win is a fast, granular discretionary-spend read that regional gaming analysts under-cover relative to Vegas Strip numbers โ†’ Boyd Gaming, PENN Entertainment, Caesars regional segment, Monarch Casino
PREMIUMmonthlyban:nonetA
State DHS/HHS open data portals (e.g. Texas HHSC SNAP caseload reports, California CDSS CalFresh data)
County-granular SNAP enrollment leads national headline jobless data by weeks and flags dollar-store/discount-grocery same-store-sales inflections early โ†’ Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Kroger, discount grocery basket
FREEmonthlyban:nonetA
Google Trends (public trends.google.com, via pytrends)
Distress-selling search queries spike ahead of pawn/resale supply gluts and precede reported pawn-shop inventory and gold buy-back volume by 1-3 weeks โ†’ FirstCash, EZCORP, gold spot/GLD flows
FREEdailyban:mediumtB
State turnpike authority open data (e.g. Florida's Turnpike Enterprise traffic reports, Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission traffic data, Ohio Turnpike open data)
Truck-class toll volume is a real-time freight-economy pulse and commuter-class volume is a return-to-office/leisure-driving gauge, both published faster than Cass Freight or ATA indices โ†’ trucking (Knight-Swift, Werner), regional commercial real estate/office return, gasoline demand
FREEdailyban:nonetA
Locked โ€” held back
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Redacted and held back โ€” our highest-signal feeds plus anything with compliance restrictions. Not for sale yet. The FREE and PREMIUM tiers are on pricing.

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